One automated NAS100 bot for the New York open, all year round.
It reads the overnight move, waits for a confirmed breakout, and manages every trade with a trailing stop and a backup stop at the broker. It sits out Fed announcement days, closes before weekends and holiday half days, and adjusts to the clock changes on its own. Runs on TradeLocker and is built around HeroFX.
Starting with $450 and carrying each window's balance into the next, the bot would have ended at $11,977.64 (+2,562%). 9 of the 12 windows made money and 3 lost. The deepest drop inside a window was 55.98%, and 50.9% of trades won.
Backtested on the TradeLocker platform, not live. Past results don't guarantee future results. Every window is listed below, including the losing ones.
Why this page shows everything
Transparency is the point. This page shows all the data I have, good and bad, so you can make an informed decision about whether this bot fits you. It's here to educate you, not to persuade you.
- Every backtest window is listed, including the three that lost money and the weak stretch in 2025.
- The worst numbers sit next to the best ones: the deepest drawdown, the biggest single loss, the longest losing streak and the worst month.
- Every figure says where it came from and what it leaves out, such as slippage, live trading and the fact that the bot was refined on this same history.
If the risk shown here is more than you're comfortable with, this bot isn't the right fit, and that's a fine answer. Questions are always welcome before you buy.
How the strategy works
Many NAS100 days are decided early. The bot is built around one idea: when the overnight sessions and the New York open all point the same way, the first decisive breakout after the open tends to keep going. It trades only that situation, only in the New York session, and stays out of everything else.
A trading day with the bot (Pacific time)
- EveningAsia opens. The bot marks where price starts the new trading day.
- OvernightEurope opens. It measures how far, and which way, price traveled through the Asian session.
- 6:30 amNew York opens. It measures the move from Europe into New York, checks where price sits in the day's range, and makes its call: long, short, or no trade today.
- 6:30 – 9:30 amEntry window. If it has a direction, it waits for a confirmed breakout that way. No breakout, no trade.
- Rest of the dayTrade management. A trailing stop, profit taken in stages during winter, and every position closed before the session ends (earlier on Fridays).
The setup, step by step
- Overnight momentum. The bot splits the night into two legs: Asia into Europe, and Europe into New York. Both legs have to move the same way. If one goes up and the other goes down, the market hasn't made up its mind, and the bot sits the day out.
- Where price sits in the day's range. At the open, price has to be trading near the top of the day's range for a long, or near the bottom for a short. Momentum and location have to agree. A strong overnight rally that has already faded back to the middle of the range doesn't count.
- Grading the setup. The size of the overnight move sets how confident the bot is: weaker, strong, or super-confident. The very largest overnight moves are treated with caution, because in testing they were more likely to reverse.
- The breakout candle. With a direction set, the bot waits for a 5-minute candle that closes beyond the day's high (for a long) or low (for a short) and beyond the most recent swing, with a solid body. A long wick that pokes through and snaps back doesn't qualify.
- Confirmation. The next candle has to hold beyond the breakout level. If it gives the level back, the signal is thrown out. This short wait filters out a large share of false breakouts.
- Stop and size from volatility. The first stop is set from how much the market is currently moving, not a fixed number of points. The position size is then worked out so the amount at risk stays the same share of your balance: a calm market gets a tighter stop and a larger size, a wild one gets a wider stop and a smaller size.
- Letting winners run. Once a trade is in profit, a trailing stop follows price at a distance that also adapts to volatility, with more room on stronger setups. In the winter months it takes profit in stages and moves the stop to breakeven after the first one.
- Follow-through. If a fresh breakout in the same direction shows up while a trade is open, the bot can take it once that trade closes. In testing, these follow-up trades won more often than first entries.
Three risk levels, plus a brake
How much each trade risks depends on how the setup was graded. Percentages are of your balance, risked between entry and the first stop.
The drawdown brake halves every trade's size whenever the account is 10% or more below its highest balance, until it makes a new high. New trades stop for the day once losses reach 9.5%.
Calendar and safety rules
- Skips Fed announcement days. Eight days a year, the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision at 11 am Pacific. The mornings before those announcements tend to be quiet, and breakouts often fail. In 2009–2026 testing, the bot won only 4 of 16 trades on those days. The Fed dates are built in through January 2028.
- Closes early before weekends and half days. Fridays at 1 pm Pacific, plus July 3, the day after Thanksgiving and Christmas Eve.
- Keeps a backup stop at the broker. If the market spikes or your connection drops, a stop order already sitting at the broker limits the damage.
- Handles the clock changes itself. One bot for the whole year. No switching between summer and winter versions.
- Every risk level is a setting. You can switch off the 6.5% level or lower the risk. All results on this page use the default settings.
What it never does
- Add to a losing trade or average down.
- Raise its size after a loss to win it back. After losses it trades smaller, not bigger.
- Open a trade without a stop.
- Hold a position overnight or over a weekend.
The record in numbers
Every trade from the twelve platform backtests, January 2024 to October 2026, run with the default settings. Percentages are of the account balance at the time of the trade.
Month by month
Return in each calendar month, January 2024 to October 2026 (October 2026 runs to the 12th). Green months made money, red months lost.
By setup grade
| Grade | Trades | Win rate | Avg per trade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weaker (1% risk) | 160 | 51.2% | +0.25% |
| Strong (4.5%) | 60 | 48.3% | +2.29% |
| Super-confident (6.5%) | 45 | 53.3% | +4.81% |
Longs and shorts
| Direction | Trades | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Long (buy) | 168 | 49.4% |
| Short (sell) | 97 | 53.6% |
It wins about as often betting on a fall as on a rise, so it doesn't rely on the market going up.
Each backtest window started from a $450 balance, so one big trade can be a large share of the account. These are backtests on the same history the bot was refined on, not live results.
Every backtest window, wins and losses
All twelve windows, run on the TradeLocker platform on NAS100 5-minute candles. Each window started from a $450 balance with the default settings. The platform's NAS100 history starts in January 2024, so the first window covers January only.
Colored bars are each window's return. Grey bars are the worst drawdown inside that window. Numbers under the bars are the window numbers in the table.
| Window | Dates | ROI | Max drawdown | Win rate | Time in market |
|---|
Compared with buying the S&P 500
The twelve backtest windows from this page, next to what the S&P 500 did over the exact same dates. Both start with $450 and carry each window's ending balance into the next.
| Window | Dates | S&P 500 | S&P balance | This bot | Bot balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2024/01/01 – 2024/01/29 | +2.64% | $461.88 | +11.52% | $501.84 |
| 2 | 2024/01/28 – 2024/04/29 | +4.61% | $483.17 | -14.31% | $430.03 |
| 3 | 2024/04/28 – 2024/07/29 | +7.55% | $519.65 | +70.28% | $732.25 |
| 4 | 2024/07/28 – 2024/10/29 | +7.07% | $556.39 | +54.92% | $1,134.40 |
| 5 | 2024/10/28 – 2025/01/29 | +4.70% | $582.54 | +76.76% | $2,005.17 |
| 6 | 2025/01/28 – 2025/04/29 | -7.91% | $536.46 | +30.07% | $2,608.12 |
| 7 | 2025/04/28 – 2025/07/29 | +16.17% | $623.21 | -4.83% | $2,482.15 |
| 8 | 2025/07/28 – 2025/10/29 | +8.21% | $674.37 | +9.30% | $2,712.99 |
| 9 | 2025/10/28 – 2026/01/29 | +1.64% | $685.43 | -13.36% | $2,350.53 |
| 10 | 2026/01/28 – 2026/04/30 | +2.64% | $703.53 | +54.80% | $3,638.63 |
| 11 | 2026/04/29 – 2026/07/30 | +2.64% | $722.10 | +43.86% | $5,234.53 |
| 12 | 2026/07/29 – 2026/10/13 | +5.37% | $760.88 | +128.82% | $11,977.64 |
| Total | $450, Jan 2024 – Oct 2026 | +69% | $760.88 | +2,562% | $11,977.64 |
The S&P 500 beat the bot in 3 of the 12 windows. S&P 500 figures use daily closing prices plus about 1.3% a year in dividends; they are what the index actually did. The bot figures are the platform backtests on this page, chained window to window, so they are simulated rather than live. It assumes nothing is withdrawn and that each window's percentage return applies to the larger balance; lot sizes, slippage and margin can make a bigger account behave differently.
Yearly return calculator
The twelve windows run back to back from January 2024 to October 2026, about 2.8 years, with the same bot and the same settings the whole way.
Yearly ROI calculator
Hypothetical, not a forecast. Compounding assumes every dollar is reinvested at the same risk, that you stay in through every drawdown (up to 55.98% in one window), and that the bot keeps performing as it did in the test. The strategy was refined against this same history, so live results will likely be lower. Larger accounts also face slippage and size limits that a backtest doesn't show.
Runs on TradeLocker, designed around HeroFX
The bot trades through TradeLocker, so it works with any broker that offers that platform. It was designed around HeroFX, including its NAS100 spreads, hours and contract sizing, so HeroFX is the preferred broker and the closest match to the backtests. Other TradeLocker brokers will work, but their spreads, hours and fills differ, so your results may differ too.
With a small balance, your broker's margin limit can block the bot's larger trades. In the backtests above, which started each window at $450, the platform rejected 2 entries out of about 240 for that reason. Check your account's leverage before you start.
Read this before you buy
Trading leveraged index products can lose money quickly. Three of the twelve windows above lost money, and the worst drawdown inside a window was 55.98%. A strong recent window doesn't mean the next one will be.
All figures are backtests on historical data. They don't include every real-world cost, such as slippage and changing spreads, and they aren't a promise of future returns. Only trade money you can afford to lose. This isn't financial advice.
Where the bot is headed
The bot you buy today follows fixed rules that were tested on years of past data. Over roughly the next one to two years, the plan is to turn it into a bot that learns from its own results and from the news, and updates its own code.
- Already in place: a daily report card. Every day the bot logs its trades, wins and losses, how far the account is from its high, and why it sat out (a Fed day, no clear setup, the drawdown brake). Three mornings a week, the news is checked for anything that should change its settings, like a surprise Fed meeting, a market closure or extreme volatility.
- Next: learning from its mistakes. The bot will compare its recent live trades with its backtests, spot setups that keep failing, and try fixes against years of history before using them.
- Then: reading the news and rewriting itself. Connected through an API, it will read each day's news alongside its own results and rewrite its code on its own. Every change will be backtested on past data before it trades live, and logged so you can see what changed and why.
Free updates
Everyone who buys gets every future version at no extra cost, including the self-updating one. New versions are sent to you by email.
Live results first
Before any of this ships, the current bot is running live with real money to build a real-world track record. Live results will be added to this page as they build up. The self-updating version is a plan, not a finished feature, and everything above the FAQ describes the current fixed version only.
Frequently asked questions
Which broker do I need?
Any broker that offers TradeLocker. The bot was designed around HeroFX, which is the preferred broker. Other brokers will work, but their spreads, hours and fills differ, so results may differ.
Does it have to run all the time?
Keep it running around the clock on trading days. Its 6:30 am Pacific decision uses prices from the Asia open the evening before, and it has to stay on while a trade is open. If you start it in the middle of a day, it sits that day out and starts trading the next day. A VPS (a remote computer that stays on) is the most reliable way to run it.
What happens when the clocks change?
Nothing you need to do. The bot knows the US daylight-saving dates and shifts its times itself, so it always trades the New York open at 6:30 am Pacific.
What is a Fed day, and why does the bot skip it?
A Fed day is the day the Federal Reserve, the US central bank, announces its interest rate decision. Its rate committee (the FOMC) meets 8 times a year on a published schedule, and on the second day of each meeting it announces at 11 am Pacific whether rates go up, down or stay the same. The Fed chair then holds a press conference.
Interest rates affect borrowing costs, company profits and how much investors will pay for tech stocks, so the whole market waits for that announcement. The morning before it is usually quiet and choppy, and price can then jump hard either way at 11 am.
That quiet morning is exactly when the bot looks for breakouts (6:30 to 9:30 am Pacific), and on Fed days those breakouts tend to fizzle. In testing, the bot won only 4 of 16 trades on Fed days, so it now sits them out. The Fed's dates are built in through January 2028.
How many trades does it take a day?
Up to 3, and only when a setup passes every check. Many days have no trades at all. In the backtests the bot was in a trade only about 1% to 2.3% of the time.
How much does it risk per trade?
About 1% of your balance on weaker setups, 4.5% on strong ones and 6.5% on super-confident ones. Every trade is halved while the account is 10% or more below its high. It stops opening new trades for the day once losses reach 9.5%, and it closes everything by the end of the day.
Can I make it less risky?
Yes. The risk levels are settings: you can switch off the 6.5% level, lower the 4.5% level, or lower the base risk. Lower risk means smaller drawdowns and smaller returns. The results on this page use the default settings.
Can I lose money?
Yes. Three of the twelve backtest windows lost money, and one had a 55.98% drawdown. The brake, the daily loss limit and the backup stop reduce the damage but don't remove the risk. Only trade money you can afford to lose.
Do I get future versions?
Yes. Every future version, including the planned self-updating one, is free for everyone who has bought the bot. New versions are sent by email.
What if I can't get it working, or I want a refund?
Email lionscarter4@gmail.com and you'll hear back within 1 to 2 business days. Refund requests within 14 days of purchase are honored.
Pricing
One bot that trades all year, with the clock changes handled for you. Runs on TradeLocker, with HeroFX as the preferred broker.
14-day refund policy
If the bot isn't for you, email or call within 14 days of purchase and you'll get a refund of the $399. The refund covers the price of the bot only. It doesn't cover any trading losses, because all trading carries risk.
What happens after you buy
- Pay for the bot. The price is $399, one time.
- Get it by email. The bot is emailed to you automatically after your purchase.
- Connect to TradeLocker. Run the bot on your TradeLocker account. HeroFX is the preferred broker, and any TradeLocker broker will work.
Setup help
If you struggle to set it up, I'll help you get it running. Email lionscarter4@gmail.com with the issue you're having and I'll respond within 1 to 2 business days.
Questions before you buy? Email lionscarter4@gmail.com or call 971-206-4431.
Ready to talk?
Ask about pricing, setup, or how the bot runs on your platform. Call or email and you'll hear back directly.